Analysis Paralysis@SONA

SONA Day 11th Feb 2022:                                                                                    

PrezBlunt                                                                                             
CameToTheHall                                                                                            ShowedUsHisSuitToBe                                                           
MadeHereWithGreenGasToldUsTo
Grow Dope

GrowBoom  
GrowGrass                                                                 

Short summary ends her… Big Story below

Warning: this entire poem is At least 1200 words long. Reading the whole thing could be injurious to your health. You’ve got the message … whatever is left may be long, boring and depressing…. Or maybe not… It could simply be satiric.

[Note: For offshore readers/listeners, a SONA is mnemonic for “State of the Nation Address” and all the Zansi’s’ important people are present there there for the address hoping…}

Why was it written?
I have no idea…
These things happen…  Usually…
a case of “Who cares…” SONA is a routine chore … A ‘Much ado about No Thing’… doing little that anyone remembers next Tuesday.” ]

This time is a somewhat different year tho’…

Last year something seriously bad happened in our country… Zansi, in Southern Afrika. Well many serious things happened, and few have been explained: but this deeply bad thing stood out more:.

Some called it an “Insurrection”; and there has also, never been a coherent explanation about that either … And hundreds of citizens died during that explosion of violent looting…

And it wasn’t the only oddball thing that has happened over the Covid era…

For instance: Fires have been impacting key things, hospitals, universities and now Parliament itself. Fires break out and burn for days; and are blamed on random things like homeless persons who somehow, have cigarette butts, that defy all fire raising logic…

As the ‘House of Assembly’ did last month… when it ‘caught’ fire and burned for days.

So this SONA is happening in the old City ‘Town’ Hall…  

What was it about? We hope you’ll find out.

The economy is stagnant, and simply sliding slowly, inevitably downhill… Some say “back to the more comfortable 19th century” So to use a 19th Century adjective:

“the Economy is in a Parlous Stagnant State”.

Question everyone is asking: “Will this SONA indicate a way forward…?” We will see…

Since stagnant is not the same as standstill: entropy is running wild… And parlous still means what it meant then…

As the Honourable MP General Holomisa, pointed out at least four years back, in a previous SONA …

“We are on the slippery slope…” No akshun since.                         

And so, we have continued downhill….

So this means expectations were up high; that a hugely compromised Prez… hemmed in on all sides by aggrieved power groups, both inside and outside his Party, will deliver some evidence that there is a positive way forward.

The Poet was sceptical and had no expectations at all… Assuming no thing….

Because, as you know, expectations are all too often a formula for disappointment… So…

Our journey starts nearby the City Hall, where occupants of a refreshment room, watch akshun on the TV….

————————0———————–

I’m drinking Koffee.” He said.                                                                                         
This is a Bar not a Koffee                                              
Shop…

I want koffee…                                                                                           
I never said I didn’t                                                        
Want booze…
If I can’t get it, I’ll go some                                                                              
Place where they serve
Both!

Oh. Sorry. Off course.
You can                                                                                   
Have Koffee           
What booze would                
You like?

Kane… I’ll have a bottle…    

                                                                                                   
We haven’t got any Kane.                                                                                                   

So.  You make it diffikult hey…?                                   
First no koffee, now                                                           
No Booze?

So I’ll settle for the koffee.

You have to have booze… to get koffee                                                            

                      
You haven’t got it…                                                       
So you can’t give it to me…

I see.                                                                                                 
Well we’ll meet with                                               
Our                                                                          
Suppliers and see what we can do                              
Before the winter break arrives…

Could I offer you a freshly made sandwich instead?

So we settled for the annual SONAstorm to begin…

————————–0—————————

What is happening?” Asks an insistent journo, outside the City hall.
Everything is sub judice [sub- joo- di-see] says a batonic waggling finger,
from an interrogated attendee: to queries from a gathered crowd of Newspersons…
You will know soon… She adds…
The curtain rises: –
——————0—————–

In The State of the Nation today: Dope rulz.                   
Says Prez.
Was he ‘Blunt’? Ayanda asked                                         
The room?
Who knows?                                                                                                        

                      
“We want to                                                                
Harness the powa                                                                                               
Of                                                                                                            
Industrial hemp                                                     
And Cannabis…”                                                                          
was the Prez prediction for Mzansi
Otherwise                                                                                       
SONA was its usual…                                                                                      

‘Things we gonna do          

                                                                                                   
Someday…’ affair
You know the score                                                              

We always want more….
Dreamy time again…                                

                                                                                                
No real Akshun result .                                           
Behind                                                             
The Glamour;soon overlaid with litanies                           
Of kollapse   

                                                                                                      
And disintegration… And a wondrous sense
of happiness…
It is freedom after all                                                                                                              

                            
THEN: Future tense; it lies ahead: It is not   
NOW              
WE will do things… in

Time to come: is not                                                         Now…                                                               

                                                                                                   
Sporadic applause… rattles the emptiness of                    
the packed old City Hall…  

                                                                                                                      
One clap                                                                       
Two claps                                                                                               
Three claps four  a                                                                  
Few more other claps                                                                
Add up to  min Score                                                                                              
As we   hunker down…          

‘Seven hundred kilometres of rural                                
Roads will be                                                              
Paved’. When?
We  do                                                                                  
Remember where                                                                
They are; and and are
Organising having meetings to
Decide on the criteria we should use to
Define the project concerned and then decide
where                                                                                  
We would be                                                                  
Going to start: before                                                          
We lost our way…                         

                                                                                                 
Three people clap
Yay                               

                                                                                               
We will                                                                                  
All do things                                                                        
And then things are                                                           
Likely to be announced as                                                  
We grasp our      

                                                                                                      
“Rosy nettle…” Yay… yay …yay…?

Quiet crowd… stares… waiting
Starting to notice that the seats are hard.

WE will investigate our                            
Current                                                                   
Journey… He tells us                                                          
Over                                    
Seventy                                                                    
Five Years…                       

                                                                                                              To go!                                     

                                                                                                      
Target of course… much                                                
Sooner, he quickly added, like                                 
Seventy     `                                                                    
Three: to our breath intake
Reaction….
And then for mis-                                                                                          
Direction; said “we shall                                                                                 

                 
Promote the possibilities of                                                
Our                                                                            
Green                                                                          
Hydrogen heritage…”                                                           

Many murmurs… rise in cadence…fall…                                                                                                       
What was this new exciting                                            
Word                                                                                    
We hear?                       

                                                                                                 
Not nasty things we hope                                                                                 

                     
Some pipelines we can                                                    
Grope about with.… for
a while                                                                           
longer… forage for opportunity?                                  

                                                                                             
To take to the future perfect: where                                  
We will take decisive                                                                 
Steps                                                                             

                                             
Again….   

Some of crowd spot the gap                                                   
A small
flurry of delight…   
To be blanketed with trivia

Smug smile … beams out…   

                                                                                                        
Bottom line: “We will do                                          
Wonderful things, this way:                      
Some day, when these                                                     
Plans will build on other                                               
Master plans …”                      

                                                                                              
Not Mistress plans? Note. Nor                             
Madam plans/Bossy plans Even                                                                                    
Person plans
That will…                                                                                         
Encounter; other plans, by other                    
Planners….                                       
To give away the
Miracle of
Free                       
Money….!!!!!!

Then Quickly slide in…                                                     

From our deeply frozen                                                            
Fiscus… He, as quick as breath came ,                                                                                 
Sniffing a mutter about                                       
Unfairness….                                                                     
And more tax…      
Added…                                                                                                     
To be dealt with later…                                                                                       
In the budget speech… Hand waves it away…

Kontention klamps forth in scattered mutters
And then…  

                                                                                                       
A quick return to other                                                           
Less kontentious                                                             
Plans by other                                                    
Planners… Like those bods at
business house B                                                           
Rhyming with knee… Sounding posh     .                                                            

                   
Who made a suit                                                                
That He was
Wearing…?                                                                                               

                       
A suit in chains of pomp and glory… Restrikted kut model

Look at me mommy!                                                         

Yay! Yay! Yay! The Prez has arrived!
The                                                                   
Murmuring crowd shuffled… Glancing                 
Awkwardly around; glancing
glances to see who else is                                                    
Glancing glances…                                                                                          

            
Envy control reigns…

One clap resounds…                                                                                                    

     
The face filled hall where people                                    
hover
in agonising                                                                      
Incredulity…
At the SMART suit???                                                             

Where is this going…                                                          
Why is                                                                                        
NO THING Happening???
Where’s our Bucks???

And.
Where’s our suits???????
And hope they all arrive                                                      
 In                                                                                   
Thirty or Forty                
Minutes…                                                                                    

Oh                                                                                     
Sorry                                                                     

Years   

                                                                                                       
At last… Twelve people clapped                                           
At least                                                                                  
It sounded like it was about twelve                          

Perhaps?

“We are,” Prez announced … Paused… Repeat
“We are now making… Suits…”
Again… quickly… at a gasp WHAT!!!
“Like we once did…”
Quick shift….

“One hundred days!                                                                                                    
We call for                                                                                                  
You to for                                                                           
Get to re                                                                       
Member just how we
Thought about how                                                                  
To Get Things                                                                              
Done                                                                                                         

Before we need another
hundred  Days…”  

                                                                                                      
Bright cheery smile to…                                                                                              
Silence…

To… of course…                                                           
To work out a….?   Casts about…                                                             

                                                         
“National Social Dialogue!…”  He rattled off…                              

As though we all knew                                                     
It was something
known
by                                            
More than few… That has                                                     
In the past been for                                                  
Gotten….

—————0—————–

News reports:            

                                                                                                 
“President ‘mulls’                                                          
 Ending things like                                                                                                         “Disaster State”
And                                                                         
The need to Finalise
our thinking about                                                           
What we
should be doing about                                                               
Extending                                                                                      
Free Money up to the next   
General                                                                        
Consensus survey
In Twenty                                                                      
Four…

Catch them hungry                                                                                         
Catch them                                                                   
Falling….

Mercury reports: Plans Must bring                                                                          
Akshun…

“Surely” … They add. “A plan
with                                                                                                     
Out
Akshun is only                                                                          
Wishful Thinking…
Isn’t it?”

AGAIN!!!                                                                                                     
No, No, No:                                                                            
They cry.                                                                                         
Give 
Us                                                                          
Another moment                                                                                           
Konsequences must be konsidered to           
Apply                                                            
Again                                                                                     
To the things we for                                                 
Got to remember….

So Prez Vows: they say, to                                                                                                     
Akt on things                                                                       
He previously Vowed to be                                                                                     
Akted upon in the                                                             
Last many                                                                                                      

                 
SONA’s
           

Klap Clap Krap

Bonus:                                                                                             
RedTapeIsBad                                                       
WillAppointGroupAddMore                                                 CutSomeBackABitAsWellThen                                                              
We Win

And these warriors of the Kuttings                                                                        
Will assiduously                                                                                  
Eliminate a few                                                                            
Things [AGAIN] that do not get the                                                       
Point…
And add, naturally, new rules of procedure:…

When you say?  How much?                                                                                   

Estimated cost… [of what] will, due to                                         
Fiskal Pressure [a dread disease no doubt]                                  
Add ghastliness: So to do
it [eliminate red tape ?] then             
We shall strive…  

                                                                                                              
And our goal                                                                                           
Will be to finance things…                                                                

[more things/same things?]                                                                    

Through the …… 

[pauses… for fx] Imagine drum roll echoing with joyous favour

Sale of Tea and Sandwiches!!!                                                                             

                     
Which will be                                                             
Announced.                                                                     
Just as soon as they are sufficiently                           
Stale….

Sowetan news avers:                                                                                           

“The High Road for Zansi”             

More Kannabis to be grown                                         
Check your Krop      

And then, in case they knew not how to do this strange thing: a
Previously also                                                     
Unmentioned
“Afrikan Advisory Group”
Will help our people                                                                            

                
Who were never allowed to grow it: since             
 Forever…                                                        
About … [Drum roll]                                                               
How to prepare this… [more drum
roll]                                                                                                
This new found wonder drug  

                                                                                                        
For the                                                                                   

                          
Usual: mere few Billions more…?                                     

From our formerly frozen fiscus… And                               
We will sell more sandwiches!!!
And they shall give the project… Our famous      
Momentum….

Yes, the Presidential SONA was                                         
More than usually blunt at times: and said                  
Finally                                                                           
That :…

“We are looking into the possibility                                             
of evaluating ways                                                                
of improving                                                                  
Schools … Sometime soon…                                                
And…
Supplying Lavatories…”                                                                                    
Because” [enigmatic pause]                                                                             

                           
“Good choices always provide comfort….”
———————————0————————

Meanwhile                                                           
Offshore we live in                                                                      
Orwell’s ‘War of Worlds’ on Morphed out                
Television screens                                                     
Again                                                                                          
As the gift wrap of Eternity                                                                                           Envelopes us in good                                            
Intentions… And the awful Koloniste                       
Klass back in Groland
Face off with                                                                     
Bears…
And Firmia spells out a strategy                                       
that once brought… Pearl Harbour                                                                                                

                       
While back here, the Prez.                                                
Does the finger’s touch thing for left                                
and right                                                                              
fervently wishes for                                                   
Some Antediluvian dinobaby era:                    
 Harry whatsis…An AI Groda[sic]                                        
Wizard entity; to whisk their                                                       
Wands:                                                                                       

                                        
And make it all go away….                                                           

The crowd disperses                                                     
clutters the foyers                                              
mutter expletives                                                                
like virgins despoiled,                                                      
once again
rush to cluster…                                                                      
What the
F*%#!!???!!               

——————-0—————–

Until a moment of routine glazed                       
Konfektion reminds us….                                                                              

                     
We are here…

—————————–0————————–
I’m drinking Koffee.” He said.                                                                                         
This is a Bar not a Koffee                                            
Shop…

I want koffee…                                                                                        
I never said I didn’t                    
Want booze…
If I can’t get it, I’ll go
some                                                                            
Place where they serve both!

Oh.
Sorry.
Off course. You can                                                 
Have Koffee                                                                  
What booze would                                              
You like?

Kane… I’ll have a bottle…                     
We haven’t got any Kane.                                                                                               
So.  You make it diffikult hey…?                                        
First no koffee: now                                                            
No Booze?                                                                                     
So I’ll settle for the koffee.

You have to have booze…                                                                                           
You haven’t got it…                                                                  
So you can’t give it to me…

I see.                                                                                                                                           
Well we’ll meet with          Our                                                                                                  
Suppliers and… And…
And have discussions to                                             
Think about what we can do…                                                 
Before the winter break arrives…  

Would you like a sandwich though?
It is almost stale…They said…                                                                                                              
Twelve people clapped.                                                      
At least                                                                            
They think it was twelve?                                         

Perhaps?

We thought the Prez was blunt again: when                      
He said more thought
was needed on most things…  

Yes. Ok. A sandwich will do… for now. And                                                                                                      
A well decorated; curling beautifully
at the edges, like a
Good, fine bread saamie:,                                                 
Is passed over by                                                                           
The relieved guardians                                                       
At the barely used City Hall: who                                     
Felt well used again… hardly energised                              
As yet another annual SONA                                             
Sandstorm Passed                                                                                            
By….

Jakari ‘22

Enter Basic Pay

As my readers will know,because you’ve been following me for a while,the inevitable ending of our present track will be the replacement of most ordinary work by machine managed operations. This means that for the vast mass of the exploding human race population explosion most will have nothing of any significance to do in order to keep body and soul together. We are even on the cusp of making agricultural workers obsolete.
 

I write fiction and blogs n things and i wrote this blog that follows, based on two stories that appeared in the Business Report section of the local Star Newspaper on the 24th this month.
 
It was written as if to them, but since there is no certainty that it would pass muster to fill diminishing space, it will be on my blogsite, with tags to their edition.
 
Some weeks ago Business Report [BR] published a letter from a person in a place called Mount Edgecombe who wrote that: [BR headline] “Leader’s beliefs entirely opposed to their portfolios”. [BR: Monday May 23 2016.]
 
That headline came to mind when read I the BR Op-ed piece on the 24th [May] by Dr Thami Mazwai. [A Starting point for the State to help fortify small business.]. The writer gives such grudging concessions to the very idea of: “MARKETS!??” that I was left wondering what his actual understanding of ‘business’ was: enabling someone to buy what you want to sell to them? Hard routinely dispiriting work..or dealing with only one customer… the State…. And is that actually business? we were not informed about that.

 

I bear no philosophical grudge against the idea of governments facilitating developing small businesses either. I simply moved on from his resumé/litany of depressingly same ole same ole “we must do this, we must do that…” Surely it is time for a few: “We have done’s?”.

 

I did note too, the sentence in paragraph 6 that said “… that government spent R7,3 billion annually in support of small, medium and micro enterprises.”

 

So I moved on; and a headline in the International section caught my eye: “Swiss look at $2500 for DOING NOTHING!” The Swiss are voting to eradicate most welfare payments in return for a national basic wage payable equally to all [presumably: citizens] Wow! Basic Pay. At last a rational move, from a rational people.

 

The details of it are vague. Nonetheless Basic Pay is an idea I adopted back in the day, as a fictional idea for a work of fiction, and have promoted for 22 years, in promoting my fiction. It was cool to see it headlined at last and we shall establish the present extent to which the idea remains fictional.

 

And then I remembered the SEVEN point three BILLION and I sat down and I wrote down the following equation: What if: 7,300,000,000 is divided by 17,000,000 welfare recipients [BR recent budget report refers]? What would that equals?

 

Answer R132.73. p.a. Not much: A cup of coffee in Dubai.

 

The same equation with the 204.6 billion spent on actual welfare transfers, in the latest budget, was only R12035.31 PA. Again: not much albeit it is keeping 17,000,000 people alive, which was never the natural environment’s intention*. (*Tag`; ‘Reader. John’]

 

Now I would dispute the point made by Dr Mazwai, that the international start up business failure rate is 50% [Paragraph 5]. And that therefore for some weird reason, there must be something wrong with us because we are “5 out of 7” [or 71%]. Depending on size of sample and locations, most places are higher than 50. We have always been higher. In fact most estimates I have read over the years are in the 80% range so the Minister’s observation reflects an improved perspective. This is good because right now there is growing, reported, concern, that the trend in the total number of new start-ups in ‘home of business’ USA [for instance] is disturbingly less than in the past. There is no indication either that the fewer start-ups have an improved success rate.
 

There are businesses that owe their existence to the task [often Sisyphean] of reducing that failure rate. [When I say always, I am mindful that the country’s infancy was rooted in, initially, monopoly control of business opportunities in an encroaching band of territory by an early multi-national corporation: de Dutch East India Company … a period that extended through other means as well for a considerable time thereafter until after liberation.]

 

In fact self-reliance has actually been a hallmark of South African development. But the number who can manage self-reliance is thin. And thus many commentators, in your various supplements, routinely refer to our low, entrepreneurial, enterprise oriented populace, by comparison with such places as, for instance Chile, and more brusquely with those who are, as Dr Mazwai points out, subject to “intermittent explosions”. However our citizenry is really rather normal in this regard, risk taking is often bad for survival, so sensible people attempt to minimize risk. Crazy people start great companies… with no disrespect to those magnificent spirits.

 

So logically, the Swiss should vote YES. After all they have a similar problem to us, being that most people, even there, are not naturally entrepreneurial. Therefore it could actually be cheaper to give everyone a basic guarantee, [“According to need” as Marx observed in his Critique of the Gotha Programme]. Lose job, register online, receive basic guarantee through guarantee credited to account in finance house of choice [not withdrawable [sic] as cash], find new job, tax registration online suspends guarantee until next time. Simple. And: all done by machines. Presumably the place [Switzerland] has modestly effective compliance rates

 

This means it could also save the administrative cost of maintaining an otherwise under-productive, swelling bureaucratic edifice, to facilitate determining who should have the right to receive a slice from a complex welfare payments web: something that will inevitably raise the number seeking productive work… albeit that should in turn produce a surplus that could be added to the stipend.

 

It could nonetheless reduce the number of business start up failures, [for reasons that would perhaps be beyond the scope of this specific blog]. And that would be beneficial to the economy.

 

Obfuscatorily [sic], it would also require a subtle re-engineering of the overall tax system, to move from its present broadly, historically onerous, direct taxation levels with their often violent origins in a pre digital physical world: to less noticeably painful, micro deductions congruent with a digitalised world. These will be made to accommodate the introduction of the Transaction levy concept; as the Chinese have begun, to do, with their introduction of the [presently zero-rated] “Tobin Tax”.

 

On the other hand, of course, a myriad lifetime’s of memes, expressively symbolic of your “DOING NOTHING” headline, will more probably kick in this time, and so the Swiss vote may only pass, on about the fourth attempt… when the current wave of impending doldrums causes serious evaluation of the unintended costs of welfare.

 

Perhaps though it could be argued that Consumption is a job. I did mention that I write fiction, didn’t i?

 

But pass it eventually will. It is part of the future of Public finance, along with the transaction levy; recently nudging into re-existence, now in China… presently and cautiously limited to Currency trades, but, inevitably, spreading out into those world’s of derivatives, hedges and swaps, n all things ephemeral: as Rent is extracted from Time, without due consideration for dues: thereby starving more risky actual ‘real’ value creating businesses, of the kind sought after by Dr Mazwai… while adding less value to the common good. All good fiction isn’t it? Except that some seek to make it fact… and if it could increase happiness shouldn’t we consider it?

 

Thus we [the human race] will strive to harness the kinetic energy of the [so-called] ‘Casino Economy’ that we have invented, through the micro-cent mathematics of the new digital economy.…. as represented by for instance [of all things?] Spotify… ultimately without harming its [the ‘Casino Economy’s’] potential for amplifying change.

 

Thereby we would begin to effect the present ongoing transition of our global enterprise from its current earth warming smokestack era to a digitally driven greener future, where robots do the ‘heavies’ and humans learn to evolve to ‘our next level of consciousness’, as the Late Professor Tobias observed some years ago in his final public speech, in answer to a question from me on the subject.
 

So to return to Dr Mazwai’s R7, 3 billion spent on “supporting emerging enterprise” for what, to judge by the doctor’s gloomy prognosis, is something of a loss leader. So perhaps the Doctor could cut directly to the chase, and not wait to pass go… and take the entire budget and …. Ask …

 

Is it a viable idea? Who knows? So many things that didn’t seem viable or even tenable, when they first happened turned out to be game changers, and perhaps, paying people to become consumers isn’t a bad job in an age of saturation supply overwhelming all traditional theories of economics: a discipline founded on the management of scarcity. After all, surely consumption trumps NOTHING [if we may still use that T word]

 

And then there is a growing body of opinion suggesting that the current slow moving environment is partly due to QE enriched bankers using their haul to prop up their balance sheets, rather than exploiting the leverage potential of flooding struggling under- consumers with life enhancing salaries. That doesn’t sound much like fiction.

 

Aah. Such are the random thoughts of a fiction scribbling blogger.

 

Yours

Nicholas

Money from Nothing

Money from Nothing*
 
“The road to inflation is paved with good intentions.”
 
-William Guttmann
 
This quote was in my face when I opened my mail this morning and it seemed apposite to my thoughts when I purposefully made a rare pilgrimage through a less travelled over [for me] part of the city to my old University to hear a talk and the responses to some questions put to the author of a recently launched/ published document/book on the mechanics of the Mzansian private Kredit industry. This refers to the southern part the Azanian Konfederacy in which I live.
The relevant document: ‘Money from Nothing’ by one esteemed Professor D. James at an important London based University in the frozen offshore region called New Pomerania.

 
Selling tomorrow today
 
 

The presumed role of
The illusion called
Future
Is that it is
Real
And we sell it
As if it were
Not.
 

Selling tomorrow
Today because
Tomorrow
Never
Actually
Arrives.
 

So take two
Futures
Now and when there’s
Less
Later
Shift over
Drives
 

And when is this
Later?
 

It doesn’t
Matter: we can choose
To imagine it
Again
Should we sell it
Once
For we simply sell
It
Again and
Again
And
It never has to pay
Rent
Since there was never
Consent
 

Future sold is
Future
Bold
The extravagant idea
That there will
Be a tomorrow
Later.
 

And what then is this
Later
 

Take two now
Hurrah!
Get less
Only
Later.
Will it be less?
Won’t it be more?
 

And then
What tomorrow?
Where
Is this time
Beyond
Care
This is unclear:
Unclear?
And how should we
Presume
It
To be
Linear?
 
!NIK[‘15]
 
—— 00000 ——
 
That was the short version of my experience at an invigorating recent book launch [15 April 2015]. The rest refers to its inspiration and may be heavy going for those with a delicate attention span. Better to stop now and press a button somewhere so I can get paid.

 

Oh still here? Alright… even my ancient mother gave up here.

 

So for those, who prefer prose, this is the short attention span summary of the point of this blog in case you find my long discourse later boring or too confusing: which is much the same thing.
 

It seems the level of Private Kredit in Mzansi is huge... although no figures were obtainable from the text of the Kredit related book launched at the packed Wits University Press event in their austere facilties on the 16th April, because, as the Author observes on page 147: “the book’s primary aim: to view questions of debt in their broader social context.”
 
Presently Public debt [in Mzansi] is R1.8 Trillion against GDP of R3.3T. This sounds reasonably good [compared to Greece for instance] until you realise that 23% of GDP represents State expenditures of one or other class.This is suggestive of a high level of so-called hypothecated tax payments. [ I,O,W:This means that so-clled “real” GDP is closer to R2.5 Trillion of real value creating activity… from which should be also subtracted the expenditure on Private security that is more properly a transfer payment contributing to the hypothecation base.] [figures extrapolated from latest Budget.] I.E.: The ‘real’ debt is more like 70% of ‘real’ GDP and is growing fast; and we [the country] are at the absolute bottom of an historically unprecedented, fairly flatlined, gasping towards respiration: global interest rate cycle.
 

Our society is presently in shock over a wave of violent unrest that has affected important parts of the country, suggestive of a high level of stress and anxiety over “competition for scarce resources”, and inexorably rising costs. [A recent Deutsche Bank survey showed my home town, Jozi to have moved from being the third cheapest city in the world in 2001 … into far more upper divisions in 2015, an impression confirmed by various visitors over the past couple of years].On the other hand, unemployment is at levels that make Spain look like it’s roaring ahead as robots replace humans in key categories, changing the world and us. Leaving us with street-loads of unemployed; perhaps even unemployable, persons fueling up on rage….
 

Into the mix is a rapidly evolving digitally based global economy which, through a combination of disintermediation and disinflation means that our relative rate of economic inflation is faster than that of all our main trading partners.
 
To highlight this process a pattern of negative interest rate yields on public debt has been a key shift feature of the past year in the Euro zone culminating in a first a fortnight back when the Swiss ‘sold’ TEN YEAR PUBLIC DEBT on the basis of a small fee payable: a negative interest rate. In other words they charged people to look after their money. And were oversubscribed.
 

So the real question is, given the high level of private/public debt and the minimalist rate of growth. What happens in the “socio” world of your [the author’s] study when interest rates start to rise sharply across the planet for those places considered ‘risky’ as they will do over the next twelve to eighteen months?
 
——–0000000——-

 

Okay. The rest is me ruminating over how i eventually got to the point of the question; and it is really written for those few people who like a great deal of detail with their snippets of insight.

 

“Money for nothing and your kicks for free”
Dire straits.
 
I have a post-retirement paying hobby, mediating on the knowledge acquisition process, as applied to 9th grade economics, in an old eastern quadrant of the city, Jozi, where I live. Once this was called “teaching” but when the minion, in front of one, has instant access to a billion pieces of information, off a machine in its hand: then mediating is about where it’s at.
 

My learning minions come from a variety of places on the Afro-Azanian Kontinent, ranging from the next street to north of the Sahara; and the role of Kredit in their lives is as paramount to their survival, as it has been to mine. Knowing how it works though is integral to their learning objectives.
 

So when I received an invite from my old university to the launch of an in-depth evaluation of socio factors driving the Kredit business, I am ‘required’ to know about it, and accepted.
 

Of course I am also something of a retired ‘Mashonisa’ [debt collector*6] and one of the fun moments in the evening’s presentation was the assertion by a speaker, that the day of such persons who ‘collect outstanding debts’, sometimes in a manner ‘brusque’, being needed, had been supplanted by new banking forms that made them redundant. Yeah.
 

It was at that point that I realised I was in ‘odd’ company for people professing concern for the “Money” business. But I get ahead of myself.
 

As I drove west across the inner city from my workplace; to the venue on Wits’ East campus, I was pondering a money relevant event. I had been puzzling over it randomly since the previous week. I was wondering too whether to test it and how to integrate the implications of a shock event into the evening’s information. I was also distracted because I was unextectedly and unusually detoured from the planned route and required to skirt neighbouring, more inner city zones, [compared to my workplace], because of imperative and immediate security concerns over erupting civil unrest activity, that had become violent.
 

So at the same time, the idea that was rumbling in the background of my thought while I drove, was only rumbling: because immediate survival required driving that now deviated route in tandem with multiplicities of ubiquitous rules-deaf taxi men daring tarmac, between random old ‘toppies’ [me] and tone-deaf ReaVia busses. ‘Dancing without glancing’ was the real priority thought… Then there was the information, prompted by a news station report on the car radio, regarding a shooting incident in a zone I had just vacated. “People were being shot, on the streets, in my part of town… So if you’re in that part of town…Stay focused.” So my thought got crowded and remained unformed.
 

In the event I never got to air my thought, in question time partly because the guest speaker opened by stating that she was no economist; and dealt only with debt in the more personally abstract anthropological sense: and wouldn’t therefore be of any use with economic oriented questions.
 

So I would have tossed an unformed thought before it could become a useful question and anyway needed more space to ponder it, given a veritable coruscating flood of new information pouring out of the evening. The back up speakers, one of whom was described as an informed Accountant; and even the questioners, seemed to be people from a money unrelated world. They all seemed oddly out of sync with the subject matter and more in keeping with the philosophy motivating a second book on display, that I whimsically additionally chose to purchase. [it was also on discount] I was attracted by what the late Mr. Bakunin allegedly once described as a “prime Oxymoronic description” on a corner of the dustcover, i.e.: “Democratic Marxism”.
 

And then I was scheduled later that evening to be in conference with a person from a thriving business in the [so-called] “New Economy” [she told me she worked for ‘one of the world’s biggest data holding companies that you’ve never heard of’: a name I instantly forgot.] in which the purpose was to drive precisely driven advertising to a specifically, almost personally defined, target. Was this Marketing nirvana? I needed to rush, long before the presentation ended, wondering whether that nirvana would also target those with means to pay as well… while wondering about what i had heard.
 

The real surprise to me in the presentation was to discover the sheer magnitude of the Kredit Industry in Mzansi, and the extent to which the local model has permeated the entire Kontinent. That we have some of the world’s highest ‘cost of credit’ was noted, as well as the idea that we are the only place on the planet that protects debtors to the extent that we do: and that this was an inherently fudged [or perhaps fudge-able] process. I was curious too about the ABIL collapse [2014****] touched on by one speaker, that I saw at the time as a “Dark Swan*” event …
 

As it happened the event [ABIL’s collapse] coincided with that part of the economics course that deals with product life cycles [PLC] and provided minions with a perfect narrative for the learning of the term… “Slippery Slope**”… the ‘dark swan’ trigger event being an earthquake in the Orkney region of the North West Zone of the Mzansian edge of the Konfederacy. It was later obvious to those with perfect hindsight, that ABIL itself was riding a fairly extreme Leptokurtic curve. And the sub question to the end question posed by the time you finish this is: Where is the rest of the Mzansian Kredit market on a Konstructible bell curve: is it reasonably Mesokurtic or like ABIL are we riding something more Leptokurtic.
 

A questioner raised Korinth Starr’s “Basic Pay” idea in its antiquated form*4 “Basic Income Grant” and the thought/questioner, was summarily, but nonetheless curiously, dismissed by the accountant. Curious because it should be obvious by now that the present ‘new economy’ business model, cyber based as it has become, is a model for a bizarrely destruKtive code of work eradication; as robots replace people. [ I will refer again later to this Robots replace workers idea under the intro: ‘Konsider’].
 

We are in a world of radically declining “JOBS” [as Korinth suggested 20 years back now]. Reality suggests: ‘Telkom created jobs Twitter decimates them’ … albeit in tru-post Luddite forms the new economy seeks critical thinking, sharp witted, multi-talented minions. For the rest who cannot measure up to that. The inevitable outcome of that form of Marxian economics that broadly despises enterprise, especially small enterprise, is that Basic Pay is as inevitable, as the growing understanding that the present Internet model took a false turn and [yet another] intervention shall become imperative to calm the storm we experience around us not only in Mzansi but simmering all over the planet: fuelled by free goodies.
 

The reality of the fact that almost a quarter of GDP in Mzansi is simply hypothecated tax revenues was politely not mentioned since it was an ”economic” question. Perhaps Marxian economics doesn’t run to rationalizing sinecures. It is hovering territory however for dark swans. And there seems to be looming labour unrest in that region as well… debt fuelled in the new incalculable age of relative devaluation.
 

Another surprise. That the urge to spend is so prevalent and ingrained and inherently compulsive that even the venerable [so-called] ‘Stokvels’ [savings mobilization] institution has been morphing, in the way of its signature ancestry, the now demised “Building Society Movement”, into becoming financially institutionalized as a ‘spend-now’ agency.
 

And that the upshot of this is that ordinary People [now] have little choice but to SAVE in Banks: but that Banks LEND only to Corporates, and even then, only with the usual circumspection.
 

In other words the only real source of ‘Kredit’ for the kommon citizen [the new “kommoner”] was this ubiquitous new/old mass Micro lending market evaluated in the launch tome: ‘Money from Nothing’ and ranging from the routine, time served, furniture outlet, to the newly affluent otherwise unemployable private lending institution represented by ordinary persons: recently and lucratively ‘dispossessed’, in the process of realigning the economy to satisfy the new demographics of freedom…
 

And then in amongst these extended arms are, of course the ‘more new’ [despised apparently] competitors… the Kredit extending ‘Korner Shop’ … the apparent targets of a suicidal wave of violent and antipathetic destruction bordering on genocidal rage, that has so traumatized our city that Saturday night [18 April] was the slowest I have witnessed in years… It felt [for instance] like midnight Sunday almost all over Melrose Arch; and an early Saturday evening drive from OR Tambo airport to the Melrose place in pursuit of a cheerful hostelry for a snack was like driving through a cemetery, not a taxi to be dodged, the traffic was so thin. Weird. Was this part of a proving ground for that swan?
 

Which meant the questions if not the answers, provided an insight into the ineffable Mr. Smith’s “Invisible Gland” [sic]. That synergistic confluence of self-interests when a class of disaffected Cash only/money for nothing [much] Competitors share commonality with those customers who buy from a growing class of credit extending ‘korner shop’ competitors at the bottom end of the market, All of whom learn abruptly that the most effective way for the deeply embedded debtor, to get out of debt is to liquidate [en-masse and literally] the creditors; as our country has exploded into an orgy of otherwise incoherent allegedly [swiftly airbrushed] Afrophobic rage… an example of which was represented by the street shootings referred to earlier while driving to the launch, when a refugee class of pedestrians, allegedly from a failed zone to the north of the Konfederacy, were apparently attacked and shot at by mobile gunmen.
 

Therefore I wondered at the scale of the private debt being described, connecting with another looming confluence, presented by my earlier background pondering thought, subsequently shelved due to its internal incoherence [to me]; and wondered at the pattern, whereby the price of an infinity of futures is/has been, routinely mortgaged. And then, how there are some unanticipated changes recently as [for instance] the mounting range of the new ‘App’ revolution encroaches on structure, threatening everyone from the General Practitioner on the corner to chefs, drivers and security guards. And whether the entire ‘Money from Nothing” konstruct is bordering on implosion under the strain of what is, by historical standards, infinitely hypotheKated credibility.
 

And the deeper question?
 

Who shall then pay the piper?
 

So: What is this problem to which I have now referred a few times?
 

In this past fortnight the Swiss have launched and apparently sold out a modestly valued ten-year bond. In itself this is not unusual. The Bulawayo City council in a financially problematic part of the Konfederacy, in the region called Monomutapa, is presently advertising bonds to finance its water development schemes. It is a long-standing and normal method of public or corporate financing. I do not know the price of Bulawayo’s offer. Greece is presently operating on an effective current yield around thirteen percent per annum [20April 2015], so it would presumably be positioned somewhere in that range.
 

What is different about the Swiss sale was the price. As the following quote from the [London] Financial Times: FT>Markets demonstrates. [The bold type is mine, as is the grammar correction “past”]
 

“Bonds with negative yields have become one of the world’s fastest growing asset classes, accounting for around a quarter of Europe’s government debt market. In the last [past? Unless they believe this to be the LAST year ever, which of course it could be.] year Germany, Austria, Finland and Spain have all sold shorter-term debt at sub-zero yields.
 

But this is the first time that investors were effectively charged for lending money to a government for such a prolonged period. They bought SFr232.51m (€222.4m) of Swiss debt that will not be repaid until 2025 at a yield of -0.055 per cent — and the issue was comfortably oversubscribed.”
 

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/35ddc68e-dde7-11e4-8d14-00144feab7de.html#axzz3XhAtxenE
 

This fact was presented by Susan Li, the lady that hosts the morning “Asia Edge” show out of Hong Kong off Bloomberg last week, using a variation of what ‘rich dad poor dad’s’ creator, punts sometimes, as the marshmallow theory of investment educating.
 

She offered a range of front line, investment analyst class, guests, the standard choice: have a marshmallow now; or if you wish to wait a while you can have two. [Handing marx=shmallows [typo seemed apposite: sic] around seemingly to demonstrate that she wasn’t tricking them]. Keeping it hypothetical. She smiles with such crafty elegance.
 

What the Swiss are saying, she continued, was “Here’s two marshmallows now, but if you are prepared to wait you can have one”. She held up the last marshmallow.
 

Ok. Explain this paradox. She said.
 
The “Asia Edge” guests were unable to offer an explanation. And nor could I. I was as dumbfounded as they were.
 

So, what are the implications of a rising tide of negative interest rates for the future of the Mzansian ‘Money from Nothing’ macro-environment? Is this a trend of minimal duration… or is it here for the duration?
 
So that, in a considerably less formed manner, was the question I thought to throw into the ring.

 
German bond yields are down to around zero, and for many years now companies have borrowed money in the Japanese markets at close to zero and loaned it here in the Mzansian markets at above 5%*** as part of the well worn, so-called: “carry trade”. Specifically a business linked to a former [US] Presidential contender borrowed thus and loaned R25B, in particular, to one, then Listed entity, that subsequently bought out its shareholders with the loan that was [naturally] taken up by the lender, and that, the then privatized entity, is still so brutally encumbered both by its leaden repayment schedule; and the economy’s stagnant growth prospects, that it routinely sells off parts of its asset base, presumably to remain solvent. The point of borrowing is to cover the cost with income growth.
 

This means the the 9th grade minions will also have to note the fact, routinely misunderstood by so many of their elders, that Ten percent [10%] is 100 percent higher than the 5%. 500-year average ‘risk value of money’.
 

Over the past few months though the Swiss and other mainly northern Euro zone countries have started charging people to hold their money instead of paying interest. This means that the gap between the risk content of the Swiss holding your money is at least 1000 odd times lower than 10%, and based on what was said at the Presentation, personal debt costs, is at a risk boggling 2-3000 percent, over the [now] ‘best’ world price.
 

And what if inflation over the next decade only affects those places that are over borrowed?
 
So what it seems may be happening, I thought, subsequently, in one of those serendipitous ‘mind applied’ moments that leave you thinking: okay that was obvious, how come it took a week to figure it?
 
The Swiss decision suggests that, given the [US] Dollar based world has had some four trillion dollars artificially fudged into it on a scale that makes Mr. Mugabe seem parsimonious; that thereby they [the US] through an activity euphemistically called Quantitative Easing [QE], – are laying the ground for the most massive devaluation of money in since forever… [For the less informed, devaluation of currencies is Orwellianly described as Inflation so that it sounds less ominous.].
 
Now the Euro zone is going to do the same [Quantitative Easing] in an attempt to kick-start the Euro economy that has been rendered impotent through a century of well-intentioned Marxian economic interventions to protect the weak, infirm, and judiciously under-employables as the world replaces low level workers, and even high, with robots: computerised solutions to vexing problems. So they [the Swiss] are effectively saying you are giving me money you got for free and I’ll charge what it will lose in value over the next period of time. You can’t pay ‘value’ [in the form of interest] for free money.
 
This is a significant move that holds ominous overtones.
 

And what is interesting then, is why the ‘discount’ [0.055%] would be expected to be so low since the dumping of fiat money on a much smaller scale in the past led to pandemic devaluation…
 
So the more complex question facing our publishers: Are the Swiss evaluating the long term [i.e: ten year] implications of a world in which [selective] abundance has devalued almost all human interactive activity to the point where everything [almost] is for free.
 
Konsider this. [I did mention this was coming earlier didn’t I?] There is a man who can proudly say he has a billion slaves working for him; kollectively working hundreds of millions of hours weekly: and he has become fabulously wealthy.They even pay rent and happily expend capital to give him [and alternatively many of his associates] their labour with enthusiastic vigor. And then the slaves want to rebel and riot because they get no pay from their ‘real’ jobs and those jobs slowly went away.
 

Is that an odd way to describe the phenomenon called Facebook and its associated tech freedoms that have obliterated the value chain of global society? Nonetheless this counter intuitive ‘labour for free’ model is part of the reason for a global shift in value. Couple this phenomenon to the cheap labour role of the emerging South and Southeast Asians damping down the inherently Inflationary effects of QE; and viola we have a new economic model apparently overlooked by the local new Mzansian ‘spend like there is no tomorrow’ at extortionate returns model that is soaking up cheap imports from those regions
 

So what if the inflationary effects of the ‘announced’, bartered, hypothecated QE trillions; [or is it now quad zillions when taking derivatives into consideration] can be put off for the next ten years at least [they are ten year bonds remember] Would the more likely trend be a continuation of the presently disinflationary ‘teens in the [so-called] “Developed world”. And the question that really begs answering by the gathered information Kollektors is…
 

Could this then mean that those places where debt is charged normally at levels once considerate extortionate, as the second speaker said of Mzansi: face an inevitable explosion – a financial apocalypse- when inflationary costs persistently overrun income, and money is no longer free.
 
And what ‘Dark” Swan event could trigger that?
 
And for me…
 
What then will my 9th grade minions learn?
 
Keep your data in a secure Cloud?
 
!NiK[15]

* 1 ‘Dark Swan’ event; a term used to describe an unanticipated, catastrophic intervention/disruption to an existing, albeit peculiarly strained, established order. Usually [thoughtlessly] designated with a colour code specific, that has been altered for purposes of mediating a thorny part of the transformation agenda.
 

**2 ”Slippery Slope” Modified reinterpretation of an old Marketing Tool by Mssrs Stephan, Power et al: ‘The Scramble for Afrika in the 21st Century: A view from the South’. Renaissance Press, 2006. P37.
 

***3 5% roughly the developed world’s five hundred year moving average percentage for relatively risky trades. Moving higher as the risk becomes less predictable and retrieving the loan becomes more tricky and costly, perhaps even needing to be ‘written off’. Yields, naturally vary considerably more than that.
 

****4 ABIL Afrikan Bank Ltd.A giant, listed “money lending’ bank. Share price plunged from 4400 at 08.30 to 0027 by 16.40 Bank was subsequently ‘rescued’ by the national reserve bank.

*5 Basic Income Grant… You’ll remember Starr famously stated “Grant me no favours Basic Pay is mine by right…” Jonker Memorandum by Nicholas Jakari.

*6 See: ‘7 Ways to get your money’ by Nicholas Jakari.

The Jonker Memorandum: chapter: Confession of a witness.

What follows is an extract from the text of the Jonker Memorandum. The full digital version will be uploaded eventually. In the meantime you can listen to the story on the relevant podcast link.

Confession of a witness.

I once had a dream in which I
fired
a
rifle
and the shot was so LOUD I woke up,
and my ears
rangggggg
for weeks thereafter. The sheer
reality of the experience
disturbed me for months, in fact:
still disturbs me. Recently
I was again woken from a dream by its [the dream’s] sheer
reality.

Was it perhaps the intruder’s who came visiting at Christmas that
Triggered
it off? Perhaps the sound
of a gun being cocked woke me from a nightmare
then.
It may even have been a gun being cocked in my dream
that had woken me. But when I
woke it was with a crystal clear perception of something;
an incident
that had been so deeply buried by me that it was
forgotten until then.

How can a dream be so real yet
its truth
cannot be clarified?
An event
so real and yet so instantly
elusive?

I remembered that
there was a time, when I first went to the University that I pursued
the flames of passion and
railed against the oppressive State
in which we then lived. I even, I had believed
managed a marginal notoriety which
brought its own unwanted attention…
and terror. My low-key activist
period
lasted two years. The effect
was that there were three occasions
during those two years when I was plucked
from my world and shown the truth
of my situation. It took a while
but the penny finally dropped,
as they say.
Then I buried it all in denial and misdirection so
compressed
it took nearly
four decades to unlock it.

*****************8

On the first occasion a stranger approached
our group and shouted at me
in a downtown bar
where I was drinking
with some friends, “Keep your trap
shut!”
He shouted, unaccountably singling
me
out,
using the language of the, then,
oppressor class in our country. He produced
a revolver and pointed it at me. I reacted by leaping
through a handy window, fortuitously
unbarred
then
and got out of there fast. It had
simply seemed a strange albeit
not unheard of experience; and it was
a downtown bar, in one of their neighbourhoods. Now of course I know I could have been freaked out for days and probably was
Then… it was/is…? Uncool? To show that…
I put it out of my mind and
Got it on with living.

On the second
occasion
I had been travelling with two acquaintances: Duke
and Lex
in Duke’s car on a Saturday afternoon. We were
forced
to stop, by a car that pulled in front of us
on a quiet road, and a man
claiming to be from the feared Special Branch waved
his badge, told the
two in the front to keep
their eyes to the front,
pulled me to the window,
stuck a small revolver into my mouth and told me
to keep my trap shut
or else the finger would move … “You keep your fucken
trap shut.”
Again the language was that of our Oppressors and again
the phrase was common cause with those who would not hear the
truth. Curiously none of us discussed the incident
after they had gone. My acquaintances
dropped me off home and I never saw them again…. Did they know that the incident
was going to happen?

My photograph had appeared that week on the
front page of a
Zone One daily,
The Star,
in connection with “Mass protest action at the University”, where I was a first year student of politics and economics…1967.

I didn’t really understand
what it was all about…my subject choice
was dictated by how the lecture times could be
fitted around the many part-time jobs I needed to
pay
for the journey. People said that the system was bad
and generally I responded to it on the basis
that it was I was discriminated against by “them”. I was both an immigrant
and a country boy
and those “others” who were the true target of “Their”
discrimination
were largely unknown to me. I was in most ways a
product
of the intention. I never really ‘knew’
how “The system” worked
anyway
or had worked back then before the ‘new’
revised post ’48 system
came;
and what was “a system”
anyway… Still, that is the role of the front line trooper… to do but not to know.

I worried
that the mere sight of a photo could have the ever-omniscient Bureau of State Security on my back
or more specifically in my mouth. In my
personal hubris,
or perhaps denial, perhaps, something
even more horrible for it never occurred to me until this day
that there could be an ulterior motive. That could indicate the state of paranoia that prevails in a Police State. It reveals too the level of paranoia that we all lived with that
could blind me to a certainty for so long..

Then later, a year later, during Woodstock [which
I was unaware of at the time
like everyone else I knew] they came
for me
at three am. Bashed
the door until I awoke, and
hooded me,
and took me somewhere that was cold and dark and
shouted oaths at me
and told me what would happen if I
didn’t
“Keep my trap shut”…And in my foolish
innocence and deep committed
denial, I had
presumed them to be obsessed with
my unbelievably small part in the “Struggle”,
and that those more involved than I must get hell
for
these
guys
seemed to be always in my face.

I couldn’t discuss it with anyone, ‘cos they
said
if I did
something bad would happen to my folks; and they
knew
my father had an aneurysm explode
in his brain the previous year; and he could barely work
and how much
he owed to the State for
Medi’
care, and they would call
in his account. In any event
I had no idea who I could trust or why I
seemed to be singled out, and being
truly intimidated by then foreswore the struggle for solitude
and avoidance; for
the whole Sixties thing of lust, booze and dope. Later I dropped
out
and never dropped back in again.

And the voice still rattling in my nightmare came now with absolute clarity…it never had anything to do with ‘The Struggle’ it said. No…it was more prosaic than that…it had simply to do with “Murder”.

***********

Is there an act of evil
more calculated to inspire terror
in the gathered citizen,
than the sound of murder on the night-still air, carried out for all
the world to hear because those who carry
out the act do not seem to care that they commit evil?
Truly they do
not believe
that they commit a crime.

What after all is a “crime” and
Is not
One person’s “crime” another person’s act of liberation?
And should we
Go that
Dionysian
route?

In my adopted country
at the time when I was growing up
there were three classes of
Citizen, respectively first class, second class and
third
class
and what applied to the country applied to my adopted ‘homey’: a mining/ industrial town
that formally committed suicide in more or less
the year
that the incident resurrected from my dream
took place.

The town itself was
a modestly prosperous archetype, of a formerly first class,
now relegated to second class, Koloniste
controlled
pre-revolutionary Azanian
urban place.

It was
in reality
modestly prosperous
for only a small part of the recently deposed, former Koloniste ruling class, now known as the second class.

The rest of us lived bleak lives, forever at the edge of catastrophe.

Understand that we are talking about days far,
far away. A time
soon after the war that Mehta* calls the First World War and others call the Second.

We [my immigrant parents and I] were technically
part of the former ruling
class, the Anglos, and we,
[our tiny family],
were a particularly despised part, because
we had come directly from the “motherland”,
and were poor,
and were regarded with deep suspicion
by both of the established
Koloniste groupings.

Indeed life in our adopted town was harsh, and
consisted
of real grinding poverty
for most of the newly empowered
jackbooted, ruling Koloniste class, or ‘The Maboere’, as the Dissies
liked to call them.
There was naturally a small established and establishing
Cronyist elite
Whose lives
were more pleasant.

Life amongst the Maboere was
so harsh
they made a virtue out of sending their children barefoot to school,
and those scions of the newly enriched
amongst them
would leave home shod, then hide their shoes, so as to fit in with their peers. They would see us watching
them do it and we knew
to run or cycle off at speed.

These brutal antagonists who came to dominate and overwhelm
our lives
were themselves confusing:
capable almost simultaneously of unspeakable cruelty
and gregarious warm hearted kindness
coupled with
a certain brutal honesty
quite absent from the more duplicitous species,
with whom we were forced
to bond
by legislative decree,
and with whom I found scant comfort.

And then; beyond we two groups: the old Koloniste class and the newly empowered ‘other’ Koloniste class, the Maboere,
were the Dispossessed, third class, living in a place
so dark
most of us were unaware of their existence, even though
we were completely aware of their existence.

“They” were “those”: known only as “THEM”: the ‘Dispossessed’, ‘Dissies’… the “despised”, the disenfranchised…the despairing.

The new ruling class was forever in our
faces with their “RULES”.
For back-up their philosophy was
reinforced by an entity called God, that
was omnipotent apparently, and omniscient
and couldn’t be seen by unbelievers, and spoke the “truth”, only
to our new rulers. And we saw
this “God” to be an evil entity that
ruled on the myriad things we weren’t allowed to do.

The most important of “the rules” was that
it was forbidden
to be even remotely polite or
“nice” to anyone
from the Dispossessed class,
and so,
ironically,
as a result, the Dispossessed Klass came to completely obsess
and
[ultimately]
overwhelm the new ruling klass, [those known as the “Maboere”] who
feared all along that these
entities,
as they perceived them,
would ultimately undermine and usurp
their own revolution. And as we now know, this eventually came to pass.

The Dispossessed were called “Sataans” by
the newly empowered, yet brutalised, new, first
or
Ruling Klass “Maboer” citizen… Old women would
watch a passing dispossessed
entity, a ‘dissie’,
and hiss… “Sataans”… “Children of evil,” and we were told
by our teachers, who
were more often than not Maboere, who beat us regularly in
the name of the new religion
with planks taken from the tops
of the school desks, and ripped at sinews
under our flesh until in
agony we agreed that “they” must
be left to do their own thing, because
“they” were incorrigibly wedded to darkness…This was an unforgiving mantra.

We were further instructed to believe that “these
people” were condemned by the
sin [whatever that was]
of a name called Adam, and
marked by a name called Cain to live
lives of enslaved servitude
in awful bondage to brutal leaders who would make them suffer because
“they deserved it”. And
in our own ignorance we heard how
“they” had been rescued
from ignorance, and
perdition and
the desperation of their previous existence, whatever
that had been,
to subsist in some discarded refuse heap where their choice was dispossession
or death.

In other parts of the planet, we learned, really
evil Koloniste
had exterminated those they could not
subdue [and in so doing discovered the real
meaning
of freedom: something
we were not told] We [ the ‘Dissie’s” latest oppressors] on the
other hand
had discerned a latent
humanity
[apparently] in the “Dissies”
as “they” were called, and therefore our treatment of them
was more humane. As proof of their [Maboer] humanity
they would point to how “their” [Dissie] population was
consistently
growing for the first time in their [Dissie] recorded history; maybe even ‘their’ [Dissie] unrecorded history too. indicating,
they asserted, with beatings and threats
that “they” were thriving
in captivity. The idea that “they” were dispossessed was never raised
or if it was
it was argued, again with beatings implied or actual, that all groups of citizens were really Koloniste
and that
the “real” inhabitants, now nearly all dead,
were never “owners’, actually, notwithstanding unfettered
occupation for a hundred thousand years.
They had never learned to read and
write and develop property rights so logically
they
had
none.
The original
Inhabitants had been caught in a vice
Exterminated from both ends; hunted down
and killed
for loving freedom more than
servitude. “…And for living on the land
like a wild animal…”

We thus lived in a wonderful
plastic
bubble of
Grande illusion, which existed within a structured
hierarchy
of benefits.
These benefits permitted swill to be gobbled from the trough
of goodies
available to the “successful” in such an ordered world.

While we [the new second class Koloniste] had “rights” to ‘it all’
they
were tempered
by the obligation,
sponsored by the book inspired ethos
“Thou shalt be mean to the
dispossessed.” And therefore, since
the dispossessed could be anybody
simply by association… those who were
“nice” to the “Dissies” must be
“Dissielovers!”
secretly lusting to enjoy the
VERBOTEN
bodies of the “Dissies”. For as everyone
“knew” [and was evidenced by the rapidly expanding population], ‘Dissies’
“fucked like rabbits” and that
was true
as it turned out for the “dissies”
soon outnumbered the new ruling Klass by far.

So the New Ruling Klass [NRK] carried their power with increasing
fervour: a holy
book in one hand and a rifle
in the other… Do as I say or die…those were the options.

For many years life was bleak
and tedious and within
the narrow perimeters set by zealous
god obsessed,
dispossessed obsessed,
dark suited, dark hatted Bureakrats, we,
who were now being called the “baby boomers” got on with the business of living.

Through short wave we discovered:
Rock n Roll, Elvis
Presley n Micky
Most, n jive
n
bop, n
things that were alive
like warm wet places, and that first
tentative
open-mouthed
exchange before the tongue arrived and gave
erotic
edge to sudden hardness.

Rock n Roll came, via a crystal set, or short wave
In the days
Before frequency modulation
Made our
Control
easier
maybe,
the long, main wave went for their god as often as not
with mournful dirges
interspersed with long speeches
by dark-suited voices. And in
between were the commodity prices and the price
of wool and maize and millet and hay and gold was
pegged at thirty three dollars
and we lived on a gold standard and what everybody loved
and obsessed about almost as much as they obsessed about the dispossessed, was gold.

Our family came to live amongst the former now declining
ruling cl
ass who were mostly
Well off and established while we
were new and poor and not. Immigrating
to east south central back [aka: east central Zone One] then at that particular time proved to be imprudent ultimately, for the adults in the family, and fraught with daily violence for us kids.

And so we found that behaviour
is indivisible. To spend your life ignoring
the horror of what was being done
gradually corroded the very soul of pity
and peeple took whatever opportunity

they could
to dis a neighbour, harm another person if they could.

If the first mantra of the Dispossession era was
to be nasty to the dispossessed
eventually everyone became nasty
to everyone. It was easier that way
to remember to be bad
to “dissies’. My folks found themselves in
a blocked drain and were soon…within a few
short
years
without many of their few
friends, some old friends: having like us
come inadvertently from the ‘motherland’.

Most left at the first sight of the coming storm, and
being “our” network,
it shredded and left us [my parents] somewhat stranded… not terminally stranded, well not then, but
yes, eventually, terminally stranded.

So the fifties came and went and
the sixties compressed
us to bursting point
and we lived in our leafy suburbs that
were designated to be solely
Koloniste
territory and we were forbidden on pain of terrible retribution to ever go to a place where the “sataans” dwelt…a place with a name that no one spoke of. It was simply, “There”.

We sailed through childhood steering
with greater certainty. I gradually
discovered that no matter how painful, the pre-emptive
strike option, ultimately used by Uncle Dubya Bush in Iraq, was
the only rational response to bullies. Take
your moment
when it suits you. For bullies
were abounding and encouraged. And
after an event called
Sharpeville things became pretty
brutal for a time, and it
became sensible to carry a stick
when cycling
to beat back marauding informal enforcers.

Later,
on the night of the elegant,
but unattended, final
school farewell
dance
we listened rather to the news of Kennedy’s assassination on
the short-wave radio
in the Nash 600 bought eighth hand and only running cos the old-man knew how to build motors
and torture young sons to be his “spanner boys”.
He chose not to hire from the local mine compound; where
the men were grudgingly
allowed to
work in private gardens
on their Sunday’s-off, from work in the mines.

We had heard of Kennedy.
The year before he had done something against the Komuniste,
whom we understood to be the agents of evil,
and the “sataans”.
And when Bay of Pigs and the Cuban missile
crisis happened,
followed by our trial examinations, we had all been
so freaked out, because we had been told
by the voices on all the waves
that the world was about to end, and not really
grasping the big picture, understood that the little
picture
meant, fuck the exams and get
drunk and, hopefully, maybe, desperately, we could get laid… Hhhah.

Kennedy had been cool and gave us
glimpses of what was coming. The world shed
its skin then
and began bursting from the chains of former consciousness. The world stirred
and the bullet took its own
patterns of unintended consequences… perhaps. We produced
the worst set of final results in the history of the school
to that time and people bewailed the declining standards of youth
and an evil maths instructor
beat me regularly with a stick and predicted inevitable failure… Violence and failure were our lessons in Trigonometry
and the rest and so by the end there was barely a flicker in me
of what my parents had come to escape. Barely a
spark undimmed by the
savage nature of the place.

But those other places; “there”
where the Dissies lived were also bursting
and the streets were patrolled by hard
faced upwardly
mobile despots
presiding over autarchies
with short whips called sjamboks
and guns and an attitude that permitted the assault
and beating of a citizen without compunction; or redress
for a ‘dissy’, or someone designated a ‘dissie-lover’!… A mark
of shame spoken about in either hushed and muted voices or with
violent
denunciation.

And if perchance a ‘decent’ Koloniste man
should have need to carry a Dissy
female in a vehicle alone
then it behove him to put her on the back
seat and have an innocent third party like a Koloniste
child travel with them, lest he be apprehended for licentious behaviour and be ruined.

For through all this the hormones
flowed, finally affecting me
in line with
all the other guys who discovered
‘stoneys’ somewhere in the ninth
grade, after which the
urge to penetrate warm folds of flesh; to feel
the thrust of orgasmic glory… prevailed over sensitivity.

By then we too believed,
almost,
that those Dissies were ‘Sataans’, when
we thought about “them” at all, for “they” were largely unseen
and seldom reported on, other than in the statements of sombre ruling cadre Koloniste.
And of course in the
weekly news reports
when a dissy committed murder. “They” became the bogeypersons of our waking nightmares, when we ever had them.

Then, there were so many things to think about…rock n
roll had been banned on the radio
except for some token half-
hour
given to the nation once a week
for Johnny Walker’s hit
parade,
and we gangling know-it-alls were tuned to LM
radio and the sounds of Eddie Cochran and the Rolling Stones; not to mention ‘Ruby’.

The explosion of the sixties was right
on us when
we went off and had our heads shaved to become acolytes
of the noble Reich: learning to shoot “sataans”
and going awol to Durban beach
for a month and losing four days pay for
days in detention
barracks and being beaten
and beaten again… Head shaved, again
How dare you dis the people who dis the dissies. It was beat
thump
thrash. Beat,
thump,
thrash.
Beat,
thump,
thrash
these were the
measures
on the path of childhood from the beat, thump, thrash
of infancy to the beat,
thump, thrash of a wild November night
in ’66,
when the truth was all revealed
and nothing could ever be again as it had been.

That Friday night started
at the Drive-in
movie house,
which was rarely visited anymore for purposes
of watching movies, visited instead
with accomplices
encountered on the afternoon
umbilical train rides home from the city where I passed
the day. In our time of real innocence
we eat popcorn on the back seat, watched the miracle of movies between mom n pop’s heads,
fighting for the best place
nearest the sound machine propped onto the windowsill,
then…
Now the sound box played
to dis-interested attention and the propriety pretence of being there for a movie, but alternately occupied, with vodka and willing young lusts.

Later when the movie ended
and our excuses for impropriety had fled
and the necking hour outside in the drive
way was ended, then
I returned home in sublime ecstasy.
Lost in the lust
for newly discovered flesh and feeling the effects of some vodka I carefully parked the second hand Morris
I had bought, flushed with my pay, saved in the bank like a good little boy, accumulated while disserving the
country for compulsory prison
service, abused by a half blind
corporal, reading the weather
forecasts. Being thrifty with money brought
wheels and willing partners, thereafter there’s none anymore and thriftiness gets you nowhere.

Our house was on a road
that overlooked a vlei,
or wetland, if you prefer. Running through it
was a concreted gully that carried what was originally a stream, for a few million years,
before the mines came
and turned it into a cyanide sluiceway.

On either side of it was parkland, extended
wetland really,
originally all scheduled for parkland
development by the old elites
and then rapidly invaded by those new
elites who wanted to swamp the place with voters. The parkland was cut at right angles to our boundary road by a footpath, which in turn was lit by streetlamps every thirty metres or so.

The full moon
that had
earlier been hidden behind the storm clouds,
to give our booze coated kisses convenient darkness, had now
burst through the moving cumulo nimbus
and sparkled
with the lamplight
on a hundred scattered puddles.

It was not widely thought
then that the full moon would bring a werewolf.
It was however widely believed that the full moon brought
prowlers of a different nature…
Werewolves were not real. “Sataans” were. Even as we
were being desperately advised
that they weren’t… Our world was obsessed to the point of prurience
with the sleeping habits of ‘sataans’.

By then we had lost our own Kennedy alter
ego, Verwoerdt, the bad man who had straddled
our emerging consciousness and died, stabbed
to death
by an unsung, yet unacknowledged, hero, unmourned by all
save his acolytes.

Unlike today
when all our homes are walled and locked, secured
by bolts and violent dogs
and we are all free,
then there were no such simplicities. Then
the chains were on the perimeters and within lay our
bubble of illusion.
A simple gate to define a boundary, and a gap in the driveway
next to the hedge
where my Morris would park in the open: freezing in the
winter from the passing vlei
and rained on through summer,
with a storm a day just
before dusk: a routine rhythm for a routine life… Go to
work on a train.
Score someone on a train. Go to the drive-in and explore all their parts. Go home sleep
go to work on a train….

Sleepyhead time to wake up….

And now we live in the echo of those days.

When the full moon is up and
the storm has gone and the heat of November has been
cooled by moist
sombre air the sounds carry further than is usual. I had
just finished chaining the steering wheel to the clutch
pedal, standing, in the absolute silence
of the moonlit moment, with
the key in the lock
when I heard the distinctive clunk of a firearm being cocked.

I’dbeenthere,fired a fewthousandroundsknewthesound.
My hair stood
on the back of my neck; bristled through
the vodka.
A sharp command rang
through the night.

“Halt “Dissie” followed
by a string of foul oaths
relating to the unseen Dissie
in the dark: and then the sound of running.

The air always settles after a storm and the sound
waves flatten out and sharp noises and voices travel for miles
then,
kilometres now,
along beaded atmospheric droplet cadences of water.

So as to where the sound came from I couldn’t tell. We lived in the wetland
valley and it was questionable
whether the house should ever have been built there; like the
school for mini Maboere built on the opposite
side of the park, built where a crafty sum of
money had caused a line to move on a map
somewhere, disrupting the soundflow in the ancient vlei.

Then I knew where it was.

Still barely conscious of my current surroundings, still locked
in thoughts of pleasant dalliance, lifted
by liquor and the afterglow of lust,
I was fumbling in the moonlight for the cold metal keyhole when a figure burst across the courtyard gate.

The gate was a normal height, about head
high to the average male adult of the day
with none of the razor wire adornments that festoon gates today… so it was a clean hurdle of the kind that would score gold medals in another setting.

The figure had cleared the gate,
landed
and hurtled past me in the driveway,
while I was still relating to the truth of some intrusion….
And what should I have done then? Should I have stuck my leg out backwards….
tripping him up as he flew past…
Better for him I had…but would it have been better for me?

The driveway gates were still
wide open
and the dark figure of the running Dissie
streaked
for
the
gap,
head down and moving faster than I ever could.

Then, as he reached the road a second
figure came across
the courtyard gate,
fifteen metres behind. My first thought…was it his accomplice?

No. He worked alone it seemed, or perhaps he went
the wrong way.
The second figure was the taller,
bulkier,
uniformed
figure
of
authority.

The man’s cap flew off as he grounded, and landing, he
gave a strangely characteristic twist of his
body as he by- passed me, still half
crouched in the driveway. Step, Step
He’d done it before,
many times before, I knew, through our respective
childhoods when we former Koloniste elites fought out
our ancient antagonism for the newly empowered
albeit longer established Koloniste on the hallowed battleturf called rugby.

My heart lurched in the streetlight at the
recollection
of those ritual slaughter sessions
where we fifteen kids would take on their always bigger and
bearded
eighteen men,
in unequal contest, dominated by maximum
punishment inflicted on the ‘enemy’; and generally
we gave as good as we got.

Before I could fully
grasp the strangeness of a schoolboy
now a big bulky policeman;
his partner came over the gate, slower and with less
agility and plenty of oaths. He never sidestepped, but cursed
and knocked me aside and I crunched down on the
driveway.

My heart lurched about.
I heard again the caning sounds of ritual beatings from the owners
of those voices that swore the oaths
that drew me towards the gate. I should have ignored it all and gone to bed to dream of sweet Angelica.

Like a well-trained boy I picked up the fallen cap, rolled it over
where regulation required that a
proud
owner
should hide his name:
Korn?: with the hard plosive K the hard rolling R and the sound attributed to a horse; going to ground with the ball, for his
inevitable touch down.

Yo Aah Korn?, Yay Korn?: and he condescending of we “souties”
as ‘they’, the mini Maboere,
would call us.

I found I had followed them to the pavement’s edge, watched
them chase their quarry
past the swings
in the small children’s playground
across the street: an abstraction in the park
where once Lorraine from down the street had leapt from a swing, hooked her dress which remained behind and revealed
pink knickers and sweet little bumps and ran home mortified
and never came to play again.

They were running towards the light at the edge of the footbridge that crossed the slow moving cyanide oozings.

Then one of them shot the Dissie. My guess
was Korn? shot him cos there was only one shot
and it was taken on the run and the perfect execution of the ball and the posts was Korn?’s trademark
in those bi-annual blood-baiting contests
between antagonists that we’d played between 5th grade and 12th.

The running stopped.
I could see a shape lying in the moonlight; a blob of
shadow spotlit in the circle of light
at the mouth
of the bridge.

“Get my cap”
the order,
like “get the ball!” was barked
in the “Taal”
at a subordinate,
although they both seemed to be equals: Konstables. But
Korne was like that.
Since 5th grade he was the boss,
playing barefoot on a burned crisped pitch that tore our lesser well-shod feet
tender feet…”You vil remove your boots to play here”
said their referees, “it is the only fair thing to do”
and left him champion of the entire field and we all let him be.

I met the partner at the edge of the playground
By the swings,
and silently handed him Korn?’s cap.
He scrutinised me,
a familiar
hard,
intense, mad dog stare:
bush fever glittering in the eyeballs. The excitement of the hunt
completed they now had to check out the witnesses and take their statements.

They never took mine.

There were others who arrived and from whom they noted down and elicited words of praise
for a job well done.
They were neighbours who came out to check
what the shooting was about, and soon saw the figures
by the footbridge in the lamp lit moonlight
and within a minute or two it seemed the street was there approving the deed.

And I saw the figure move.

They had stripped him
when they reached him. Down with his
trousers and shirt over his head. Incongruously
somehow he was wearing a brightly coloured swimming
costume in place of the more common cotton underpants fashionable
amongst the rest of us, and I thought, how odd,
for no dissie was permitted to enter
a swimming pool, and I
wondered how he had been able
to buy one.

There was a small hole
oozing blood
alongside his spine where the kidneys
should be
and he had landed face down in a small muddy
streak of slimy water
where the ancient clay met newly minted cyanide;
and he lifted his head to breath.

“He should be dead.” Spoke a vengeful
voice from the growing crowd in the darkness beyond the lamplight. “Make him dead” growled another
indignant
guttural
voice
in the dark. This prompted a chorus of approval
from the rest accompanied with foul oaths regarding the once again ‘proven’ satanic ancestry of the ‘fucken dissies’:
death it was asserted would be welcomed by the Dissie.

And Korne? struck a pose. Like
an old time hunter
with his daily slaughter, he
placed his foot on the back of the
wounded man’s head and firmly pushed it
down
into
the
mud
for a time, while he took out his notebook
and called for witnesses
to certify that
what they had seen was the truth, the whole
truth
and nothing
but the truth, and god [whatever that was] help those who said otherwise.

If any found the scene distasteful they said
nothing, and most, it seemed,
murmured approval. The dissie was getting his deserts. How dare
he be out here in
town in the middle of the night…The nine
o clock curfew had sounded!
Everyone could hear it!
Curfew meant that a dissie on the streets could be shot on sight and it was okay.

And I couldn’t look at them. I stared
in turmoil
at that boot, in contact with that woolly head; watched the smearing
lurch of bubbles,
the spasm. Could this be right? Was this allowed? Should I not speak out!
And would I be beaten again and again if I did.
And then,
too late…the silence of stillness when he drowned.

I told myself he was going to die
anyway…
that was a killing shot,
they said,
and there were no hospitals then
that could deal with that… certainly no hospitals for a dissie. I heard them
say that, as if in a dream.
But i knew
it was wrong and i did nothing
and what did that make me, when they came
later
to tell me to keep my mouth shut
or the same
would happen to me…They came for me because
they knew what they had done… was wrong.
And in so knowing
revealed their own slithering humanity
beneath their carefully airbrushed
cloak of evil… but I kept silent and lost mine…They said that I must keep my trap shut, that he died resisting arrest.
But they lied, for we all knew.
It was murder.

.NiK[04]