There is a savage irony about the Russian Ukraine conflict.
Russia understood themselves to be indestructible again. They had snatched Crimea, wicked Georgia for some of its terrirtory. Put whoever was stirring in Kazakstan in irons and then decided to annex Ukraine and have found themselves in a bad place.
And much as they want to rant and bluster they are in over their heads and losing troops boats planes and tanks for a minimal gain and have become the worst kids on the block to the world.
Worst of all they seem to have completely missed the extent to which they are putting themselves out of the emerging world game…
In reality they are a one point three trillion dollar economy that has decided to beat up an economy half their size. They have a thirteen trillion dollar economy dodgy neighbour on one side of them that seems to be playing friend with beneifits.
They are issuing threats to Ukraine’s friends who are a military alliance comprising combines eighteen trillion dollar economies… And being disturbingly annoying to the European Union that collectively is slightly bigger than their dodgy neighbour.
And then there is their “big bad wolf” antagonist enemy Firmia… Or if you prefer, USA, that is a twenty three trillion dollar enemy… and there are another fifteen or so trillion on the sidelines… Ultimately it is an unwindable conflict and if it goes nuclear… which is entirely possible then it will be eviscerated… notwithstanding how many nukes it has…
Nukes have never been used and have been waiting years how do they know they will work, will do so in devastating enough single blow that all opposition is overwhelmed immediately and they=re is no counter strike.
Russia winning is a seriously long shot… like betting that Apple [for instance] will close their business for cash shortish reasons… Somehow they missed the bows with their opening shots…
They will lose and the EU will levy charges for the damage. To get away with blowing a place up you need to win… And that means they will need a begging bowl… and people will forget to pay ever if they can be persuaded to carry the war damage costs…
China will retake it stolen urban hangout Now called Vladivostok… and Russia will have internal konfliks that could easily break up the Federation and will prevent it from capitalising on the massive coast line that will be available to them by 2070.
So blind to what is happening Russia is trading a muddy puddle of water within a controlled axis facility to grab a couple of relative fishing towns. that history will demonstrate to become obsolete before a child being born today turns forty… and could be sacrificing the prospective golden nuggets that could Vladivostok in the temperate zone environment many predict for 2070… And quite possibly part of an expending Chinese hegemony.