Some years ago I constructed my favourite personal hypotheses, in support of a science fiction novel I have been working on for decades. The hypothesis concerns what I called ‘the Ringing’, and a sudden and confounding pattern of weather change that occurs at the beginning of the 21st Century, and was intended as fiction. I am starting to wonder if this hypothesis could have validity.

I published this fictional hypothesis some years ago in a different Bloggosphere, under a general series of chapters regarding what I called ‘the Azanian Konfederacy’. Since it hasn’t been read by huge numbers of people [compared to the many billions of hits the Bloggosphere receives daily, I am presenting you with my fictional scenario instead of doing the Easter egg thing:

In 1998 we all read that India and Pakistan, between them, exploded six nuclear devices, over a period of some six months, as I understand it. Even if it was a year these explosions were inherently simultaneous in geological time.

Applying the principle of the double-tap body shot, to the planet, there is a possibility of a fatal dissonance and that we are truly in ‘the last days’. To elaborate: We know that the shock effect of two bullets striking the human body in close succession over a tight piece of space, say about ten centimetres apart, could knock a large human down, where one or even two or three or even four or more may not. This is why military people are trained to use double-taps, repetitive double shot bursts, and why Heckler and Koch [for instance] make a three-burst firearm, the VP70 9mm Luger fitted with an eighteen shot magazine, as their weapon of choice.

We know the planet survived the double blasts at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Well, maybe it didn’t and we’re only just starting to notice it. Then there were others Bikini Atoll and the whole fifties test series in the years leading up to the general treaty to abolish testing. Well maybe the planet survived. But what if the resonances of those explosions began to play a tune as they merged with the natural resonance’s of the planet: from the fifties to 2006, may be long for us but for the world it’s less time than it took to write this sentence.

Now we have six nukes in succession in 1998. That was new. That was three double taps, with maybe one, ever so slightly dissonant. Perhaps, rather like a nail being driven into a plank with successive blows with a hammer, a slightly disyncronous blow causes the nail to bend perhaps marginally perhaps badly.

Now it is still only six nuclear blasts; it’s not going to have an impact like six meteors crashing into the planet. The overhead object that allegedly exploded over Jakarta and was reported briefly on page four in the Star newspaper [Jozi] a few days prior to the Big Tsunami [22 December I think]-a Christmas or two ago, didn’t cause the planet to disintegrate, assuming it had anything other than co-incidence to do with the huge tidal wave that engulfed Banda Acre immediately afterwards.

A bunch could do. But could six nuclear devices of indeterminate strength? We don’t know [well maybe more technically empowered bloggists than me, out there reading this would know?] But we do know inescapably that the global climate has suddenly become far less predictable than it had seemed to be only a generation ago and that perhaps the sudden global conversion by all the various spheres of society over this decade to the global warming theory of degeneration and decay is suspicious like a hand of Marabaraba, except as you know, I’m not a conspiracy theorist. I trend to chaos theory. We fool ourselves most of the time and the rest of the time we have no idea what is going on. We’re all still in Plato’s cave staring at the shadows on the walls.

Maybe, during the two decades or more that people have been warning about the immanence of disaster from all the environmental damage wrought by our fossil fuel devouring industrial techno culture, this issue was compounding; and suddenly we are experiencing battering ram upon battering ram of ‘weather phenomena’: earthquakes tsunamis, hurricanes the like. We are assuming that all this is the outcome of What we’ve done to the planet and I’m by no means suggesting that it is not-it is pretty obvious from the growing body of verifiable data that radical change is occurring and that its speed of increase seems to be accelerating. The idea that this is exclusively a natural outcome of the past few centuries of industrialisation is seductive-easy to blame. On the other hand we have experienced a series of earthquakes in Afrika reported this past year: in central Afrika and in Mozambique-that is unusual. Further, on another other hand, maybe we have had an intervention. Not a divine intervention as some might choose to suggest: but a mistaken intervention in the form of three double tapping nukes. Mistakes happen all too frequently and this 6-nuke thing could have been a mistake.

So. So my fictional scenario went on as follows.

What if the battering ram of six astronomical explosions in quick succession mixed with a spice of dissonance from earlier slightly off key shots has dislodged the planet slightly-Do the people who explode these devices take the planet’s vibration patterns into account when they go bang-or is it like it was then- all nationalistic fervour overriding scientific common sense.

What if the planet was knocked off key by a micron or two, the most marginal of wobbles, but it doesn’t return to quite the same place on the rebound. And that initial micron gradually turns the spin onto a subtly different route; and naturally it cant stop and the movement has sent up ripples of change as the planet adjusts to the new momentum. The most marginal of movements but like the lash on the end of the whip those on the surface are closest to the end. We didn’t have the competence to pick up the tsunami until it was done what are the probabilities we can even measure with consistent 24/12 accuracy a few microns here and thee in the planets axial direction. Fiction? Perhaps; but in a post Katrina world incompetence is an overriding probability.

It was notable that the ‘Ringing’ had shaken up the entire tectonic belt, east and west extending along the tectonic plate formation as far west as Algiers and Athens I believe and East to beyond Banda Acre in the south and Japan in the north and including a huge disaster in Kashmir. It shows no sign of letting up. The city of Bam in Iran disappeared a few years ago; another urban facility went this past month. Even New Orleans has disappeared and is barely making a comeback indicating just how difficult it is to fit repair work into the world’s incredibly busy schedule. And so Iran finds itself in a new epicentre in an emerging scenario that has all the finest overtones of fiction

Before this period of destruction ends we could quite possibly see the annihilation of the American east coast line when one of the point elements in the rumbling belt of tectonica referred to above, the island of Cumbra Vieja in the Canaries gets whacked in the last ringing resonance of those earlier blasts and falls back into the sea. In doing so it fulfills Earthwatch’s most dire prediction for the planet, not to mention that of Mr Bill McGuire who predicts this disaster in his book Apocalypse. He believes it will happen in January 2011. The planet will survive this, although the global financial system all but collapses and the USA becomes increasingly moribund as it handles the catastrophe wrought upon it with little appearance of having learned anything at all from Katrina.

I speculate as part of my own hypothesis that the event occurs on the 23rd of December in 2012, which is a date apparently referred to by the ancient Mayans who predict that the date heralds the next great age of the human race.

It may be possible that a strategically placed nuclear device could be exploded under Cumbra Vieja to trigger off such an event, which could be hailed, in a new jihad reminiscent of the great sixth century expansion of a new ‘enlightenment’, as an ‘Act of God’. It would certainly be a sensible move for a country with Iran’s credentials as an Islamic State to deal its enemy a possibly mortal blow, to add misery to the possibility that the planet itself may have experienced a near mortal blow [from a human perspective] back in 1998 and we are experiencing the irrevocable aftermath.

And for this reason it would be sensible for Iran and the fundamentalist Jihadist clique to bully the world with their demonstrations of robotically controlled behaviour in support of their totalitarian ideology in order to get their nukes up and running. It’s a great theme for a novel and it’s on our doorstep.

So we have two threads running: the planet is in trouble and we need a diversion that can buy us time to figure out what to do. Overtly at least the Yanks have run out of ideas, leadership and courage and ultimately they are hanging in space by their own bootstraps in an amazing new experiment in economics-the binary rule. The Fed rules.

It is an incredible thought that the human race with all that it has achieved could well be on the way to a partial melt down that could obliterate a considerable part of the species and we are almost unaware of the danger.

Cheers it’s all happening slowly really: have another gin.